According to the latest report released by IC Insights yesterday, after IC unit shipments dropped by 6% in 2019 and increased by 8% in 2020, IC Insights predicts that IC unit shipments will increase significantly by 21% this year. Shipments in 2021 are expected to reach 391.2 billion, more than 11 times the 34.1 billion units shipped over 30 years ago in 1990.
IC Insights pointed out that the 2020-2025 IC unit volume CAGR is forecast to be 11%, five points more than the unit CAGR from 2015-2020.
Figure 1 shows the quarterly IC unit volume shipments as compared to the trend line from 2005 through a forecast for 2021. In 2008, underlying demand for ICs plummeted as the global economic recession hit with full force in the second half of the year.
The report stated that the CAGR trend line for IC unit volume from mid-2008 through 2015 was reduced to 6% from the historical CAGR of 9%. One of the primary reasons for this was that worldwide GDP increased at an average of only 2.1% over this eight-year period. Moreover, even with a 6% decline in IC unit shipments in 2019, the expected 2016-2021 quarterly IC unit volume shipment trend line is forecast to increase three percentage points to 9%, spurred by the expected huge 21% jump in IC unit shipments in 2021.